Kick-off: 0130, 02/08/2021
Stadium: Allegiant Stadium
TV: Premier Sports
USA and Mexico both scrambled through their CONCACAF Gold Cup semi-finals but El Tri have been more impressive overall during this tournament.
Home advantage will also mean nothing for the Stars and Stripes as their opponents are assured of strong support in Paradise, Nevada.
We’re going with 27/20 for the holders to get the job done in normal time as our first USA vs Mexico prediction.
A Look At USA’s Betting Odds
USA have now reached the final 12 times in 16 renewals of this event, lifting the trophy on six occasions.
However, they have lost out to Mexico in five previous deciders, including when going down 1-0 in Chicago two years ago.
Gregg Berhalter’s side did gain some revenge when winning 3-2 after extra time in the inaugural CONCACAF Nations League final in Denver at the start of June.
Their squad for this competition is not as strong, though, with Chelsea star Christian Pulisic, Timothy Weah and Giovanni Reyna among those missing.
Five straight wins have still been achieved but most have been workmanlike efforts, including 1-0 victories over Jamaica and Qatar in the knockout rounds.
The feeling is this time they may just lose out in a tight tussle, so 29/10 for El Tri to oblige by any one-goal margin appeals from the USA vs Mexico odds.
A Look At Mexico’s Betting Odds
Mexico are chasing a fifth outright success in seven attempts but left it late when getting past Canada 2-1 in the semis.
El Tri went ahead in first-half stoppage time via an Orbelin Pineda penalty awarded by VAR but Tajon Buchanan’s superb solo effort levelled things up.
Carlos Salcedo then had a spot-kick saved but Atletico Madrid midfielder Hector Herrera settled the issue deep into stoppage time.
Mexico began their group-stage campaign with a goalless draw versus Trinidad and Tobago before beating Guatemala 3-0 and El Salvador 1-0.
A 3-0 quarter-final triumph over Honduras felt like a statement of intent and they are still rated the team to follow.
The likes of Hector Moreno, Nestor Araujo, Edson Alvarez, Jonathan dos Santos and Jesus Corona all have experience of playing for powerful European clubs.
That extra quality can prove decisive when the pressure mounts and 9/2 for Draw HT/Mexico FT completes our USA vs Mexico betting tips.
Qatar 0-1 USA – Zardes
MEXICO 2-1 Canada – Pineda (pen), Herrera
Head-to-head: USA 3-2 Mexico, USA 0-3 Mexico, Mexico 1-0 USA, USA 1-0 Mexico, Mexico 1-1 USA
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